Research Finder
Find by Keyword
Broadcom's Partner Cull: Is IBM Cloud A VMware Casualty?
Broadcom’s VCSP program changes force IBM Cloud to end sales of new VMware workloads; existing customers face new limitations.
Key Highlights:
IBM Cloud will cease selling VMware on IBM Cloud to all new customers lacking an active workload by October 31, 2025.
This "End of Marketing" move stems directly from changes to Broadcom’s VMware Cloud Services Provider (VCSP) partner program.
Existing customers retain use and expansion rights for their current environments but cannot order different VMware offerings.
The VMware Cloud Foundation as a Service (VCFaaS) offering has strict new limitations on expanding to new regions or consumption models.
The notice addresses marketing and sales changes only; it does not reflect an End of Support date for existing deployments.
Analyst Take
This announcement from IBM Cloud about the cessation of new VMware on IBM Cloud sales is a massive indicator of the Broadcom effect on the partner ecosystem. I view this as an extraordinarily clear signal that Broadcom’s strategy is achieving its intended goal of radically consolidating its channel. The text explicitly cites changes to the Broadcom VCSP partner program as the reason IBM is no longer permitted to sell licenses to new customers without an active workload. That is a truly amazing position for a hyperscaler like IBM to be in, and it demonstrates how Broadcom is forcing the issue to shape the entire market. You can read the full details here.
Broadcom is architected to deliver a simplified and more focused go-to-market model built around its new, invite-only Pinnacle Partner tier. By reducing the number of authorized partners, Broadcom aims to deepen its relationship with a select group, giving them a greater share of the private cloud opportunity around VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF). IBM Cloud, despite its scale and historical significance as a major VMware partner, appears to have been caught in the crossfire—or perhaps deliberately excluded from the most privileged new tier for its general VMware-on-cloud offerings. It’s a very unusual state of affairs.
For IBM, this move effectively puts a hard stop on acquiring new customers for a foundational hybrid cloud offering. Their historical pitch around hybrid cloud has always involved the ubiquity and familiarity of VMware as a bridge from the datacenter to the public cloud. This constraint weakens that bridge for new VMware engagements. They still have their own Red Hat OpenShift platform as a core hybrid offering, which has its own strengths in containerization, virtualization (i.e., virtual machines), and cloud native development, but losing the ability to onboard net new VMware customers directly impacts the breadth of their portfolio. Customers will need to look to other hyperscalers or authorized VCSPs if they want to move new VMware workloads to the cloud.
Existing IBM Cloud customers with an active VMware workload before the October 31, 2025, deadline can breathe a sigh of relief, though not completely. They are permitted to continue using and expand their existing environments. This is a critical distinction, as it prevents an immediate rush to exit the platform. However, the restrictions placed on their expansion and consumption models are quite punitive. Customers cannot order a different VMware offering. If they are using the popular VCFaaS offering, they face geographical and consumption limitations—no expanding to a new region, no switching between on-demand and reserved models. It essentially locks them into their current configuration footprint, reducing their future architectural and financial flexibility. It's not a complete vendor lock-in, but it is certainly a vendor handcuff.
This does not appear to be an IBM decision, but a mandated consequence. Why would Broadcom remove one of its largest VCSP partners from its program? One can only assume Broadcom is being very straightforward: you meet our new, high-bar VCSP criteria and focus on VCF, or you are severely limited in what you can sell. This change will force customers to make difficult platform decisions much sooner than they expected, which is a glorious mess for competitors. The level of detail and restriction outlined in the notice is a testament to the control Broadcom is taking over the go-to-market strategy.
Looking Ahead
Based on what I am observing, the immediate fallout for IBM Cloud is clear: an inability to serve the continuous stream of new hybrid cloud customers whose foundational choice is VMware. The alternative is, of course, Red Hat based virtualization offerings. This is a material gap. The existing customer base is preserved, but their future expansion capabilities are stifled, which could accelerate long-term migration planning to competitors offering a more flexible consumption model.
The key trend that I am going to be tracking is the divergence between IBM Cloud and other major hyperscalers, such as Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud. My analysis of the market indicates that those players have been able to align with Broadcom's new rules, continuing to recruit new customers for their respective VMware cloud solutions (like Azure VMware Solution or Google Cloud VMware Engine). This suggests IBM Cloud was either unwilling to meet the new, high-bar requirements of the new VCSP program or was intentionally deprioritized by Broadcom. When you look at the market as a whole, the announcement today effectively hands a competitive advantage in new VMware cloud migrations straight to the other hyperscalers. They are now the obvious destination for a new customer who wants a public cloud-hosted VMware environment.
Going forward, I am going to be tracking how the company performs on customer retention for its existing VMware workloads. The new limitations on VCFaaS expansion—no new regions, locked consumption models—are strong incentives for current customers to start evaluating alternatives. For highly regulated industries that value control and compliance, this type of inflexibility is poison. HyperFRAME will be tracking how the company does in future quarters with retaining and organically growing the consumption of these constrained workloads. This is a fascinating industry shakeup. Broadcom has just made a decisive move, and IBM Cloud is now in recovery mode.
Steven Dickens | CEO HyperFRAME Research
Regarded as a luminary at the intersection of technology and business transformation, Steven Dickens is the CEO and Principal Analyst at HyperFRAME Research.
Ranked consistently among the Top 10 Analysts by AR Insights and a contributor to Forbes, Steven's expert perspectives are sought after by tier one media outlets such as The Wall Street Journal and CNBC, and he is a regular on TV networks including the Schwab Network and Bloomberg.